BO'C

Throughout this period the demand for tin has remained very weak and there has been a continuing excess of production over demand, encouraged by the existence of the Tin Council's

floor price. Since the collapse of the market in February,

the Penang price has remained on or near the floor.

M$ 29.15 per kilo (approximately £7,400 per tonne). A small up-surge at the end of August reflected to some extent the effects of the second export control period, which by its

nature tends to influence the market towards the end of the

period. However, by the middle of September, the price had

fallen again to the floor and has since remained there. The

support of the Buffer Stock Manager on the London Metal Exchange has been less vigorous and there the price is currently some £200 per tonne below the floor at Penang. The main reason for this

partial support of the LME is a lack of buffer stock resources.

In contrast, all other non-ferrous metals, which have no commodity agreements, have remained depressed due to the recession, and production has been cut back.

Recently the activities of the Buffer Stock Manager have been

closely questioned by certain members of the Council including the

UK following the forward buying and selling of tin on the LME

against warrants, with finance provided by brokers. These actions

are a potential further financial commitment on member states and

the situation has caused concern; it is not certain that these

transactions are wholly within the terms of the Agreement.

Department of Trade

22 October 1982

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