RESTRICTED

Government to Government Agreements

6. We can now see why the Chinese were so reluctant to include a target figure

for joint economic activity ($14 billion) in the Economic Co-operation Agreement.

In the new economic climate, this is a dead letter. But the Science and Technology

Agreement whose commercial benefits we had always accepted were likely to be long

term, is going well and there has already been some useful commercial spin-off.

The allocation of £30,000 per year from the BOTB funds for selected exchanges

under this Agreement should inject new life into it, and enable HMG to guide a

core of exchanges into sectors which seem to us to have the best commercial pros-

pects. The Air Services Agreement has enabled flights to be established on the

trunk route between London and Peking though disagreement over which Hong Kong

scheduled airline should fly the Hong Kong/Shanghai route has prevented/services opening on

that route. We are also looking at the possibility of negotiating other agreements.

A Shipping Agreement would be welcomed by British shipowners as a vehicle for regu-

lar discussions on shipping matters, and the recent US/China Maritime Agreement

sets a precedent which offers some hope of negotiating an equitable sharing of

cargo carrying. But the interests of Hong Kong would have to be preserved, and

it remains to be seen whether the Chinese position on Hong Kong has relaxed enough

to make an agreement possible. We are also looking in the longer term at the pros

and cons of agreements to facilitate investment in China by British companies, eg

Much depends an investment protection agreement, and a double taxation agreement.

on how Chinese commercial legislation in this area develops.

Defence Sales

7.

Chinese defence equipment purchases must take their share of the overall

retrenchment but there still seem to be reasonable prospects for UK defence sales,

and our early declaration of political willingness in principle to sell defence

equipment to China should still give us some edge over our competitors.

There are

some indications that the Chinese are waiting for the US to change their restrictive

policy on defence sales to China, as a gesture of commitment to supporting China.

This could mean that they would hold back from buying British for a time; but the

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