Mr Donald

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HK China

Feari kel

12

CMK Kagili

VIVED IN MARK

CONFIDENTIAL

SEOK OFFICE

REGISTRY

mon Taker

M&

23.7

Mr. Jan

Me seade Мишика

B

9. o.v.

дъя.

23/7/81

сн

HONG KONG AND SHENZHEN SPECIAL ZONE

1.

Sir Philip Haddon-Cave told me this morning that he had heard

from Hong Kong that the Stock Market was full of rumours that the

Chinese authorities were due to announce a new arrangement for the

Shenzhen Special Zone on the following lines:

a)

b)

c)

d)

a boundary would be created to the north of the Zone with controls

for entry and exit into the rest of China;

there would be free movement for people between Shenzhen and Hong

Kong;

a separate currency linked to the Hong Kong Dollar would be used

in the Zone;

investors would be allowed to buy 'leases' of land in the Zone

for 50 years.

2.

Sir Philip and I agreed that some of these points were not new. There

has been a good deal of speculation for some time about free movement.

The currency point I have not heard before.

Apparently the Stock Market

attaches most importance to the point about 50 year leases, seeing it as

a confidence building measure for Hong Kong. The logical argument would

be that it would be unlikely for the Chinese to allow an island of

capitalism between a Communist China and a Communist Hong Kong. My own

view is that there might possibly be some reassurance in this, but I

do not think it really would allay all fears because the suspicion would

still remain that it was intended simply to create one large special

zone including Hong Kong, and I would have thought investors would have

considerable doubts as to the ability of the Chinese to administer it.

However, it may be a step in the right direction if the rumour is true.

/It

CONFIDENTIAL

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