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LAND LEASES

3. GENERAL CONFIDENCE HOLDING, BUT VOLATILE. ONCE MARKET

BEGINS TO SLIDE, WILL BE DIFFICULT TO STOP AND MAY AFFECT MUTUAL

INTERESTS IN HONG KONG, VALUE OF HONG KONG DOLLAR, INVESTMENT

ETC. ONE EXAMPLE OF THE PROBLEM IS LAND LEASES IN NEW TERRI-

TORIES. FAST BECOMING SYMBOL OF UNCERTAINTY OVER FUTURE.

PRESENT NEED UNDER UK LAW TO TERMINATE LEASES IN 1997 THREATENS

TO BE MAJOR INVESTMENT PROBLEM AS TIME APPROACHES (MORTGAGES

NORMALLY RUN FOR 15 YEARS). EITHER AMENDMENT OF UK LAW OR SOME

AGREED SOLUTION VITAL NEXT YEAR OR TWO.

CHINESE ASSURANCES

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4. APPRECIATE CHINESE ASSURANCES TO INTENDING INVESTORS IN

HONG KONG. DO THEY APPLY EQUALLY TO LEASEHOLDERS IN NEW

TERRITORIES? WOULD CHINESE BE PREPARED TO SAY SO PUBLICLY OR

CONFIDENTIALLY TO INTENDING INVESTORS? CLEAR HOWEVER THAT

CONFIDENCE WILL NOT BE MAINTAINED FOR LONG BY GENERAL ASSURANCES.

PRACTICAL ISSUES REQUIRE PRACTICAL SOLUTIONS, SO SENSIBLE TO ACT

ON LEASES BEFORE SLIDE IN CONFIDENCE STARTS.

LONGER TERM

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5. RECOGNISE DISTINCTION BETWEEN LONG-TERM FUTURE AND IMMEDIATE

CONCRETE PROBLEMS. NOT TOO SOON TO BEGIN THINKING SERIOUSLY

ABOUT LONG-TERM FUTURE. BUT EMPHASISE NOT OUR INTENTION TO

TRY AND TACKLE LONG-TERM THROUGH LEASES ISSUE. NEED FOR MEANS OF

DEALING WITH LEASES THAT WILL NOT PREJUDICE POSITIONS OF EITHER

SIDE ON FUTURE.

REACTION TO CHINESE REPONSES

5. (IF CHINESE DO NO MORE THAN REPEAT PREVIOUS ASSURANCES):

MUST KEEP IN TOUCH ON PROBLEM. BUT CANNOT DELAY TOO LONG AND

WILL NEED TO DISCUSS IMMEDIATELY IF CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE APPEARS

IMMINENT.

ö. (IN RESPONSE TO ACCEPTANCE OF NEED TO ACT NOW): DETAILED

PROBLEM. SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY OFFICIALS. SUGGEST THEY BE

ASKED TO RECOMMEND MEASURES TO MAINTAIN CONFIDENCE OF INVESTORS

IN HONG KONG ECONOMY AND TO ENSURE CONTINUING PROSPERITY AND

STABILITY OF THE TERRITORY.

OF INDIVIDUAL LAND LEASES.

MEASURES SHOULD INCLUDE QUESTION

MUST NOT CONFLICT WITH THE POSITION

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