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CONFIDENCE IN HONG KONG LAND LEASES IN THE NEW TERRITORIES:

ESSENTIAL FACTS

1.

Initial exchanges on possible forms of land lease should be

Should avoid suggestion that we have reached firm

exploratory.

conclusions.

Broad alternatives appear to be:

a) fixed term leases extending beyond 1997. These should provide

reasonable reassurance for investors and would imply (though not

state) some form of British administration after 1997. They

could thus pose political problems for the Chinese;

b)

2.

a periodic lease renewable each year unless land required by the

Hong Kong Government for 'public purposes'. This would not imply

post-1997 jurisdiction so directly, but it would be less

attractive to investors.

An additional problem over (a) is that it would probably require

a fresh legal basis since the power of the Hong Kong Government to act

in this way is not clearly established. It could be put beyond doubt

by an Order in Council. This would not refer to the continuance of

British administration of the New Territories after 1997, although

it would imply it. It is not possible to gauge the Chinese reaction

to such a move.

3. If the Chinese accepted the principle of such a legal act the

timing of its implementation could be discussed. Whilst there is a

clear advantage in establishing the legal basis for extended leases

before they are issued, publication of the Order in Council itself might

attract undue public attention or speculation. An alternative would

be to employ the instrument retrospectively and only if and when the

legality of the Governor's action in issuing a lease going beyond

1997 were challenged in the open court. The proposed Order in Council

could then be put to the Chinese simply as a contingency measure.

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