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LORD CARRINGTON'S MEETING WITH THE GOVERNOR OF HONG KONG

ESSENTIAL FACTS

THE FUTURE OF HONG KONG

1.

Lord Carrington outlined problem of confidence in Hong Kong

to Vice-Chairman Deng Xiaoping in April 1981. Deng reiterated,

but did not expand on, the assurances made to the Governor in 1979.

He made it clear that China had no more to say at present on her

intentions over Hong Kong.

2.

HM Ambassador in Peking subsequently covered this ground again

with Ke Hua (Ambassador in London) at the latter's request. If

discussions are followed up this may contribute to Chinese under-

standing of problem. But no indication that leadership yet ready

to tackle the issue in more concrete form. Meanwhile, 'the 1997

problem' is attracting more concern in Hong Kong. There was some

disappointment that more did not come out of the Secretary of

State's visit to Peking and although confidence has since recovered

(especially on the stock market) we have to be prepared for a

possible slide (leading even to a run on the Hong Kong dollar).

A paper is therefore being prepared to cover possible action in such a

slide of confidence or to be ready whenever the Chinese are prepared

to discuss the problems.

there are no major

points of difference on this between the department, the Governor

and Peking.

3.

This is now in hand

Ma

The Governor may ask that the visit of the Prime Minister to

China, now projected for 1982, be put back to 1983 to give the

Chinese plenty of time to consider the problem. Firm dates have

not been made for the visit but at present the likely slot is

/from

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