CONFIDENTIAL

2

(c) depending on how strongly the Governor feels, there might be

mileage in suggesting to the Chinese an agreed system of legal

immigration control, involving more detailed discussion of the

rate of flow between the Hong Kong and Chinese authorities.

(iii) Illegal Immigration from China

3. The policy of repatriating illegal immigrants detained at the

frontier was introduced in 1974, and again proved an effective deter-

rent until 1978, when numbers began to rise rapidly.

It is estimated

that about 30,000 illegal immigrants succeeded in evading capture and

entering Hong Kong in 1978. In 1979 the figures was about 115,000.

The exact causes of this upsurge are not known, but it is believed

that greater freedom of movement within China, the over-glamorised

view of life in Hong Kong received by many people in Southern China

on the radio and TV sets brought by relatives on visits from Hong

Kong, and the incentive of the large numbers who have succeeded in

entering Hong Kong have all contributed.

This

In

4. The Chinese share our concern to stop illegal immigration.

July last year they introduced new controls that led to an abrupt

drop in numbers. But the effectiveness proved short lived, and by

December the numbers were back up to their highest level in recent

years (an average of over 500 arrests a day in December).

problem was raised with Chairman Hua during his visit in November,

when he gave a categorical assurance that effective steps would be

taken to control the influx. There are indications that the high

numbers in December may have been a last surge before the promised

new measures come into effect on 1 January. Certainly in the last

few days there has been a considerable drop, though it is too soon

to be sure that this is more than a temporary phenomenon.

AVANEST TALMINLAT

15.

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