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CONFIDENTIAL

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about 900 CCA troops on border duty were replaced by new recruits on or about

8 January, resulting in comparatively high arrests on the Hong Kong side of the

land border. Within a matter of days, however, the number of arrests on the land

border dropped and Bay arrests rose again, also probably associated with CCA

rotation, when the less efficient Municipal Militia were deployed in the Deep

Bay area. Overall, the combined total of land and bay crosser arrests was

considerably less than in recent months. This is thought to be attributable to

a combination of the increased anti-escape and travel control measures on land;

increased Chinese marine patrols activity in the Bays; the reported deterrent

effect of the Marine Police Special Boat Unit; and a "wait and see" attitude

on the part of potential IIS, who are biding their time until the effects of

these measures and the new punishment policy become apparent.

Sea Crossers

4.

Boat arrivals from both the Pearl River and North East continued

throughout January and comprised 57% of the total number of IIs arrested.

This

was despite a reported increase in the number of Chinese patrol vessels deployed

in the West (the Pearl River Estuary and Deep Bay), to the East (Mirs Bay) and along

the coast to the North East of Hong Kong. More than 30 vessels are now reportedly

deployed in these three areas. There have also been reports of increased anti-escape measures on land in the coastal areas to prevent the theft or unauthorised use of fishing boats for escape attempts. Escape by boat has always been

popular (because it was considered to be quicker and easier, could move family groups and was more likely to succeed), but this method has been used even more lately with an increase in organised escape activity particularly in Dongguan (c. Tung Kun) County, where there has been reported low-level cadre involvement. It is said that the Provincial and Dongguan County PS Bureaux are currently conducting a joint investigation, including enquiry into an attack on members of a

County PS team which had been following up one such escape attempt. It has been reported that there is now a scarcity of boats, in Haifeng (c. Hoi Fung) and Lufeng

(c. Luk Fung) Counties and that there are increased anti-escape measures on

land there too. This, combined with unfavourable wind and tide conditions,

has made escape by boat from these areas more difficult, a fact reflected

in the number of arrivals from there during January. No further boats arrived

from Fujian Province during the month.

CONFIDENTIAL

/para 5

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