XCC (80)70 19:
The current development situation at Kai Tak is designed to cope with passenger movements of 8 to 9 million per annum (as against the ultimate runway capacity of 12 million passengers per annum by 1985) and therefore it will be necessary to carry out further development at Kai Tak in order for the supporting---- facilities to be improved to match the ultimate capacity of the runway.
20.
When consideration was given by the Council to the disposal of the former RAF land at Kai Tak an area of approximately 15 hectares was designated for airport exapansion. It is expected that this area can be developed to provide the further capacity for passenger handling facilities, aircraft parking (both passenger and cargo), cargo handling facilities and possible maintenance requirements to match the runway ultimate capacity. This development will be needed in the first half of the 1980's.
21.
The table below shows how constraints would apply at Kai Tak from the mid-1980's onwards
*
i
Unconstrained
passenger demand
per annum (millions)
Kai Tak passenger capacity
in passengers per annum (millions)
Unconstrained SBR aircraft demand per hour
Kai Tak SBR
capacity aircraft movements
per hour
1985
12.0
12.0 *
30/hr
30/hr
1990
17.5
12.0 *
38/hr
30/hr
1995
24.5
12.0 *
52/hr
30/hr
G.S. 166
* Assuming the necessary developments have taken place.
The congestion at Kai Tak from 1985 onwards will mean that passengers in excess of 12 million will be subjected to an increasing degree of inconvenience. Airlines will be forced to schedule flights to less convenient times and, as this scheduling will face airlines with curfews at such other airports in the rcgion as Tokyo, Osaka and Sydney, it will be unpopular.
CONFIDENTIAL