DSR 11C

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-4-

to Hong Kong, badly affect UK/China relations and do untold

harm to our international image.

10.

Therefore ruled out.

Chreat' Force

Chinese Take-over (by force or threat

Likelihood

Implications:

a) emergency evacuation

b) defence

c) economic British interests, protection,

compensation, etc.

d) citizenship

www

Hong Kong British subjects

O

11.

demands for entry

[e) staff questions, pensions etc.

Agreement (formal or tacit) on continuance of status quo

Likelihood

X

Implications

a) legal. Is there a new treaty/lease?

If tacit agreement is there a new deadline?

b) Political. Internal system. Is 'democracy' still

barred?

Relationship of British Government/Parliament

to Hong Kong.

c) Nationality questions.

term.

Position of HK CBDTS in long

Attitude of Peking (do they regard

d) Economic.

e) Defence.

them as Chinese citizens?)

British interests. Hong Kong as trading

partner, investment base. Hong Kong's long

term relationship to Guangdong.

British commitment.

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