CONFIDENTIAL

MR BLAKER'S MEETING WITH SIR MURRAY MACLEHOSE: 11.30 AM, FRIDAY, 11 JANUARY

BRIEF NO 5: STRENGTH OF THE HONG KONG GARRISON

1. The joint study prepared by the Hong Kong Government and

Headquarters, British Forces, Hong Kong, on the size of the garrison

in the 1980s is now under consideration in the MOD. The study

concluded that the garrison should be strengthened by the addition

of at least one infantry battalion plus supporting units: the case

for this stems from the fact that the extra burden placed on the

garrison by the increased level of illegal immigration from China

is likely to continue throughout the decade.

2.

Initially, the MOD questioned whether sufficient account had

been taken of the contribution that could be expected from the Royal

Hong Kong Police Force and other local resources. But these doubts

were resolved in discussions with the Chief of the General Staff

when he visited Hong Kong in November. The Defence Planning Staff,

MOD, are now proceeding with a force level review, which will form

the basis of a paper for the Chiefs of Staff Committee, who will

in turn then make recommendations to Ministers. The MOD expect that,

by the end of January, the review will have reached the stage where

further discussions with Hong Kong officials, particularly on costs,

may be appropriate.

3. The Governor originally asked whether a rapid decision could be

taken separately on the provision of an additional infantry

battalion, since it seemed obvious that whatever happened this

would inevitably be needed. This would enable the Hong Kong

Government to begin the practical preparations that would be

necessary before an extra battalion could be accommodated in Hong

CONFIDENTIAL

/Kong

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