G.F 316

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foreign registered ships are now known to be in Vietnam since the Taiwanese comed, Panamanian registered, HIGH GLORY sailed for long Yone on 3 October. The captain of the chip, which arrived in Hong Kong on 15 October without nassengers, claimed that the vessel was anchored off Vung eu from mid-me to early October while protracted negotiations about the transport of refugees took place between a Public Security official and a women refuace syndicate organiser. The captain was absorvently advised by the PS to leave without refugees, as the Vietnamese Ministry of the Interior would not give permission.

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No hoats have arrived direct from Northern Vietnam since the moratorium, the only other arrivals during October

Of being five boats that care from China carrying 346 persons. these boats, all from Reihai, three of them had Chinem illegal immigrants amongst the Vietnamese-Chinese land crossers and one had solely Chines. illegal immigrant-nard Pressed in Vietnamese clothing. Many of the earlier rats which arrived in Fong Kong from Guangxi Province may well also have had a small number of Chines illegal immigrants aboare claiming to be Vietnamese refugees, because of the difficulty of escaping from there under normal conditions. one more identified at the time however. Some refumnen who has arrived via Poihai have stated that the PRC news remrt of the 733 Vietnamese Chineso repatriated to Tina on 10 Sentomber caused some refugee syndicates in Beihai to disband. No refuace boats arrived from the Pearl Piver area during October,

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It is probable that Vietnam will keep to the moratorium only so long as it is to her advantam. Provider that Sino- Vietnamese relations do not orsen, this may be until after the current session of the United lations neral Assembly, although Vietnam may 'mlax' the moratorium before then by allowing simulated escapes of ethnic Chinese and by ignoring syndicate shins collecting refugees outsida har territorial waters. Although full details of the vorage of MY NICH GLOPY have yet to be obtained, we believe that the ship was rrobably held in Vietnam from June to carly October as an 'insurance policy' in case the moratorium was to be lifted.

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athaic Vietnamesc from fouthern Vietnam with access to boats, especially forer officials of the pre-1975 regime, are likely to continue to try to flec and thoa Worth of the 120 parallel will probably follow the Hainan Island Guangdong chart - homping route to Mong Kong as in the cast. Sory may try to lehinwrede' themselves on the Singapore-Yong Kong steen route to ho picked un

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