CONFIDENTIAL

Mr Thomas

JAPANESE BUSINESS PRACTICES IN LARGE CONTRACTS

67in

4kk 173/2-631 M. Guign

R. EVLJ

INDEX

ль

8 MAR 1979

X

23.3

Mr 6.3

S

+G FOR PLANT AND OTHER

1.

In recent correspondence concerning the tender for the Hong Kong mass transit system DOI suggested in view of the credit it was offering, the Japanese consortium must have official

financial support.

In fact there was no evidence to suggest.

that it did, and previous experience indicates that it is quite

likely that the Japanese group and the banks backing it were

proposing to make a loss on the project. They might do this for two reasons: either in order to use the project as a loss

Leader and establish a position in a new market eventually recouping their loss on subsequent replacement contracts; or alternatively, they may simply be prepared to take a loss on a

Japanese companies have relatively few variable costs. Gearing is high and capital is largely borrowed from banks at fixed interest; much of the labour force is "permanently employed". The result is that often only raw materials are a major item in

variable costs.

In a recession it therefore makes sense for

project.

a Japanese company to operate at a loss provided it is covering raw material and one or two other items of variable cost.

2.

These practices do not count

count as dumping as the companies in question are also operating at a loss in the home market, and there may be nothing in GATT or OECD rules to discourage them. But from the UK point of view, they are particularly undesirable, as size, financial structure and very different conditions permit

few UK firms to copy them.

If the present world recession

and especially the slump in plant orders continues, we may expect to see even more Japanese competition along these lines, and the time may come when we will wish to take it up with the Japanese

officially.

But although we have sporadic reports of these practices, so far we have little concrete or consolidated evidence.

CONFIDENTIAL

/I do not know

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