G.S. 166

XCC(79)70

機密

CONFIDENTIAL #2

Financial implications

22

As student numbers are expected to be reasonably constant over the period 1979 - 1988, so are the annual financial implications for the three transport companies which will have to readjust their financial arrangements under the proposed policy. For the year 1979, on the basis of a straightforward ratio of the subsidy contributed to the companies in 1978 and the students in each category, the amounts received by these companies from Government will be approximately as follows:

CMB

KMB

HKT

Total

$ m

$ m

$ m

$ m

12

15th birthday

4.5

15.4

0.6

20.5

12 - 16th birthday

5.0

17.0

0.7

22.7

12 onwards

7.7

26.1

1.0

34.8

1978 total turnover

138.8

333.5

not

available

10.0 in 1977)

23

These are very rough figures but give an idea of the amount

of revenue involved. If anything they are over-estimates of actual costs

as :

(a)

(b)

(c)

in the case of the two bus companies, Government considers that the present system includes an element of overpayment to the companies for trips not made;

if students who would otherwise enjoy the subsidy opt to travel by other means this will mean that bus spaces, which are much in demand, are released for other full-fare passengers.

zoning should reduce the need for student travel.

Implications of the proposed policy for the transport companies

24

The policy will have no effect on those companies which already provide subsidies up to the level recommended (in particular HYF). Additionally it is not proposed to require maxicabs or licensed ferry services, both of which are generally run as small concerns, to grant concessions (although it is proposed that the Commissioner for Transport should in future positively encourage operators to do so). Companies which will be affected are CMB, KMB, HKT and NLB.

CONFIDENTIAL

機密

CONFIDENTIAL 機密

XCC(79)70

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