DSR 11C

successful implementation of which will depend upon at the least tacit acquiescence on the part of the Chinese

Government.

Although the Chinese have stated that they

regard the whole of Hong Kong as Chinese territory temporarily under British administration, including the New Territories, which will revert to China "when the time is ripe", they made clear to the Governor during his visit

to China in March that they were content for the present

arrangements

to continue de facto for some appreciable time to come. They see Hong Kong as playing an indispensable part in the Chinese Government's new modernisation programmes;

and they accept that it would be unable to make such a

contribution unless Hong Kong's political, economic and

commercial system is maintained in its present form. The

Chinese concern for the stability and prosperity of Hong

Kong in this respect is thus very close to that of the

British Government.

3.

Nevertheless the Chinese are still obviously puzzled

and suspicious about what we intend to do. They may

indicate their tacit acceptance in time for the Governor

to announce arrangements for the replacement of the present

New Territory leases by leases of indeterminate durations

when he addresses the Legislative Council in October this

year. If the Chinese do not by then indicate their

acceptance of this arrangement any announcement would still

have to be made as soon thereafter as could be arranged, and still with Chinese concurrence: We cannot proceed without it.

f

We cannot rule out that a further protracted and very

tactful effort may be needed to get the Chinese to accept

our proposed arrangements for the New Territories. Our

chances of making the arrangements stick would be made much

more difficult if the Chinese concluded from promulgation

of a new status for Hong Kong citizens that we intended other

changes in Hong Kong's long term future. Given the importance

China attaches to Hong Kong's contribution to their

modernisation plans any deliberate act by HMG which

appeared to put the stability and prosperity of the

Territory at risk would in turn have far-reaching

effects on the UK's bilateral relations with the

Chinese People's Republic. For all these reasons we

/need

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