CONFIDENTIAL

5.

DSR 11C

7.

There have been times in the past when Hong Kong

has been an irritant in our relations with China. Today

there can be very little doubt that the stability of

Hong Kong, the strength of its economy, and the prosperity

and well-being of its people are as much in the interests

of China as they are of this country. I have welcomed

the growing practical cooperation between Hong Kong and

China, and the many indications which the Chinese have

given that their intentions towards the territory are

benevolent.

But the expiry of the New Territories lease

in 1997 is casting a long shadow forward and it will not be

long before it begins to create problems of confidence

in Hong Kong. The understanding and cooperation of the

Chinese authorities will be required if satisfactory

solutions are to be found.

8.

In the trade field, China's modernisation plans

offer scope for substantial contracts and I see no reason

why Britain should get less of these than our European

partners; competition from the US will now be much

greater. 1979 is a key year for China's future

development plans, and our own prospects in China will call

for a lot of tough and flexible bargaining.

I need not

rehearse the background to the Government's acceptance

that our exports should include some defensive equipment.

But I am determined that the Chinese should not see us only

or even primarily as arms suppliers; we must continue in

dealing with the Chinese to draw their attention to the

need that our trading relations be balanced and include a

high civil element.

19.

Dd 0532000 400 M 5/78 HMSO Bracknell

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