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HONG KONG

1. With a population of 4,700,000, Hong Kong is by far the

most important of our remaining dependencies. It is an important

financial and commercial centre and has a significant trading role.

Because China regards Hong Kong as Chinese territory the colony can

never become independent; for the same reason it does not have a

representative form of government.

Relations with China

2.

Hong Kong/China relations are better than at any time since

the Communists came to power in China. Hong Kong provides over a

third of China's foreign exchange and is an important source of

financial and commercial expertise. The territory accordingly has

a key role in China's modernisation plans, and the maintenance of

its stability and prosperity is a major Chinese interest. Recent

developments include an official visit by the Governor of Hong Kong

to China, the first since 1949.

3.

and

The Chinese have been trying to reassure local opinion

foreign investors-about Hong Kong's future. The fact that the

lease on the New Territories is due to expire in 1997 does, however,

create a practical problem which cannot be dealt with by general

assurances.

The increasingly short span of property leases in that

part of Hong Kong could soon begin to deter new investment unless

some means can be found to remove the significance of the terminal

date. A possible solution was put to the Chinese leadership during

the Governor's visit to Peking in March. A substantive Chinese

reaction is awaited.

/UK/Hong Kong

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