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much of the expenditure is in the form of development assistance

which would continue after independence. Against this, there are

obvious disadvantages in pressurising territories into independence

when they do not want it. If things went wrong as they might

well do in the case, for example, of the Cayman Islands, where

the territory's prosperity and stability are based on the British

connection - our international reputation would be damaged rather

than enhanced. And we might find ourselves having to mount

expensive rescue operations.

8.

I therefore believe that the policy which we have consistently

pursued over the past three decades remains the right one. That

said, our remaining dependences are so few, and so diverse that

each case must be treated on its merits.

9. The Secretary of State may wish to discuss the Memorandum

within the Office. At some stage he may wish to circulate it

to his OD colleagues for their agreement.

It would if possible

be useful to get guidance to Officers Administering Governments

before the end of the year.

R JT McLaren

25 October 1979

Hong Kong and General Department

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SED

SAMD

SPD EAD

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/I endorse

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