Table 5: GB Higher education numbers from 1960/61 and statistical projections to 1995/96

CENTRAL PROJECTION

VARIANTS

Academic

year

January 18 age

Age

Home

group

Qualified leavers2

part'n

rate

entrants

under 21

Mature

Overseas

Ali

initial

Total

entrants

entrants

entrants

student

numbers

Low

High

(000's)

(000's)

(%)

(000's)

(000's)

(000's)

(000's)

(000's)

(000's)

(000's)

1960/61

700

43.0

6.9

48

14

62

179.0

1961/62

735

48.6

6.9

51

13

64

192.5

1962/63

749

56.6

7.2

54

15

69

215.9

1963/64

745

60.0

8.1

60

17

77

237.0

1964/65

848

68.3

8.0

68

20

88

268.3

1965/66

906

82.9

8.9

81

21

102

303.0

1966/67

834

85.5

10.5

87.6

17.7

6.1

111.4

339.2

1967/68

790

89.9

11.8

92.9

23.2

5.6

121.7

379.0

1968/69 763

94.5

12.8

97.4

27.7

5.6

130.7

410.4

1969/70 741

97.6

13.7

101.2

26.7

5.7

133.6

429.9

1970/71

1971/72

744

102.4

13.8

102.6

27.3

6.1

136.2

446.3

760

108.1

14.0

106.1

29.2

6.9

142.1

463.8

1972/73 752

109.9

14.2

106.9

28.1

7.7

142.7

473.4

1973/74

752

111.9

14.0

105.2

29.6

9.6

144.3

480.9

1974/75 776

113.1

13.6

105.5

30.5

11.9

147.9

487.0

1975/76

880

115.3

13.4

107.4

31.4

15.2

154.0

504.7

800

(1976/77) (822)

(122.2)

(13.0)

(107.2)

(33.0)

(17.1)

(157.5)

(516.0)

1976/773 822

122.2

13.5

110.9

31.7

16.3

158.9

519.6

519.6

519.6

1977/78

831

128.6

13.5

112.4

29.5

14.2

156.1

522.1

521.2

523.9

1978/79

859

132.9

13.6

117.1

29.8

13.0

159.9

526.0

521.3

530.7

1979/80 881

138.7

13.9

122.5

30.0

12.2

164.7

531.8

521.3

543.0

1980/81

906

144.8

14.2

128.5

30.1

11.4

170.0

545.7

527.2

565.5

1981/82

918

149.9

14.6

134.4

30.3

10.8

175.5

563.6

533.5

590.0

1982/83

941

153.6

14.9

140.2

30.3

10.8

181.3

581.2

542.0

616.6

1983/84

926

155.4

15.2

140.4

181.5

594.4

548.0

635.8

1984/85

909

155.7

15.4

140.1

181.2

601.9

550.9

648.0

1985/86 893 1986/87

156.1

15.7

139.9

as above

181.0

603.5

549.3

653.4

878

15.9

139.9

as above

181.0

603.1

545.9

656.4

1987/88

855

16.2

138.4

179.5

601.3

541.6

657.8

1988/89 842

16.5

138.5

179.6

599.8

537.5

659.3

1989/90

834

16.7

139.3

180.4

599.2

534.4

661.8

1990/91

777

17.0

131.8

172.9

592.1

525.8

656.7

1991/92

729

17.2

125.5

166.6

579.2

512.4

644.7

1992/93 693

17.5

121.1

162.2

561.2

494.8

626.8

1993/94

652

17.7

115.7

156.8

542.7

476.9

607.9

1994/95 630

18.0

113.4

154.5

528.5

462.9

593.7

(1995/96) (622)

[18.17 (18-3)

(113.6)

(154.7)

(519.5)

(453.5)

(585.4)

The above figures are for Great Britain. The Scottish Education Department have made separate projections for total higher education student numbers in Scotland (including students at Scottish universities) as follows:

1976 (Actual)

1981

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

625

67

73

76

60

67

74

78

88888

68

76

82

888888

69

78

86

8888

69

79

8888

69

80

89

82895

69

79

90

8888888

68

78

89

Low

Central projection High

69

Notes:

ivi

1 Allowing for fees and quota restraints

2Qualified leavers are those with 2 or more A levels or 3 or more Scottish H levels

3 Estimated at time of projection. Bracketed figures give the latest provisional figures for 1976/77

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