CONFIDENTIAL

4

Manufacturers' Association, the Federation of Hong Kong

Industries and the Hong Kong Employers' Association) put

forward the view that a scheme of individual insurance

arrangements by employers, supported by statutory requirements

might be examined. Concern was also expressed over the

exclusion of the self-employed (estimated at 100,000) from

the scheme proposed in the Green Paper and the Government

was urged to re-examine their position in any scheme which

might be implemented.

Actuarial Advice

8.

The U.K. Government Actuary's Department (GAD) has

given preliminary advice on the actuarial aspects of a semi-

voluntary scheme as proposed in the Green Paper, based on

the general assumption that such a scheme would be likely

to appeal more to older people. For sickness claim, in the

absence of any available information on incidence, British

experience was used and assumed that the proportion of

insured employees claiming sickness benefit would at any one

time rise from about 2% at the youngest ages to 2% at the

oldest ages for men, and from about 1% to 2% for women.

Briefly, actuarial advice is that the benefits proposed

can be supported with a contribution of 2% from both employer

and employee. Because of the voluntary nature of the

proposed scheme, it would be necessary to set aside the

employee's contribution effectively to form a provident

fund to meet withdrawals and return of contributions (plus

interest) to participants on retirement. Benefits would

have to be provided for by employers' contributions.

advice on other aspects is referred to elsewhere in this

CONFIDENTIAL

/memorandum

GAD's

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