600
GR 210
PRIORITY
CHER/CAT A
FM HONG KONG 280257Z
CONFIDENTIAL
HKK FRUFIDENTIAL
RECENTE
PA
$1
TO PRIORITY F.C.O TELNO.1241 OF 28 OCTOBER 78,
INFO PRIORITY PEKING,
ROUTINE HONG KONG GOVT OFFICE LONDON.
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PEKING TELNO.663 AND YOUR TELNO.807. AIR SERVICES AGREEMENT.
1. WE HAVE NO MEANS OF JUDGING IN ADVANCE PRECISELY WHAT FORM OF WORDS WOULD BE BOTH ACCEPTABLE TO PEKING AND NOT CAUSE TAIWAN TO ACT AGAINST CPA. THERE SEEMS NO GOOD REASON HOWEVER WHY THE FORMULAE IN PARAS 3 AND 4 OF PEKING'S TEL UNDER REF SHOULD
TRIGGER A REACTION FROM TAIWAN.
2. WITH THE SUGGESTED FALL-BACK POSITION IN PARA.5 WE WOULD BE
ON MUCH MORE DANGEROUS GROUND. ALTHOUGH SUBTLY DIFFERENT, IT IS
STILL VERY CLOSE TO THE ILL-FATED JAPANESE FORMULA OF 1974 (PARA 14 OF THE RESEARCH DEPT MEMO OF 28 SEPTEMBER ). IF USED THERE WOULD
INEVITABLY BE A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF A TAIWAN REACTION AGAINST CPA WITH ALL THAT WOULD ENTAIL (SEE MY TELNO.1131), INCLUDING THE
POSSIBILITY OF CPA DEMANDS FOR COMPENSATION.
539
3. SEEN FROM HERE, IT IS STILL NOT CLEAR WHAT ARE THE GAINS THAT
ARE JUDGED COMMENSURATE WITH THIS RISK, PARTICULARLY IF AGREEMENT
IS LIMITED TO THE 1973 DRAFT WITH ALL ITS SHORTCOMINGS, E.G NO PROVISION FOR PICKING UP PASSENGERS IN HONG KONG, NOR OVERFLYING CHINA ON THE DIRECT ROUTE TO HONG KONG ETC.
MACLEHOSE
FILES
FED. HKFGD
MAED.
MR CORTAZZ1 MR MURRAY Miss в пасом.
COPIES TO MR BRYANT
MR STABLES.
CONFIDENTIAL
CAIR
рот