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CONFIDENTIAL

ANNEX A

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE COUNTRIES AFFECTED AND THEIR LIKELY

REACTIONS

SINGAPORE

1 There are two aspects. First, the ability of through

passengers, particularly from Australia, to stop over in Singapore for say a couple of days and continue their

journey with the same carrier at a through preferential fare

will be removed. This will significantly affect the tourist

trade in Singapore. Secondly, it will be necessary for both

countries to impose an appreciable cut on SIA' services (SIA's operations make a significant contribution to the Singapore economy). Out of London, these are likely to be

reduced from a daily service to two or three a week and the Australians propose considerably to reduce services between Singapore and Australia (from 14 to about 5 a week). revenue loss to SIA could be of the order of 20 million per

annum. The Australians hope to arrange the introduction of

cheap fares between Australia and Singapore to encourage the

growth in tourist trade from Australia for stays for longer

then the present one or two days. It is fairly certain,

however, that Singapore will be seriously upset at the

immediate loss which she will suffer.

week).

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The

MALAYSIA

2 The Australians may decide to withdraw antas from the

Malaysia-Australia service altogether and leave it in th

hands of MAS. Malaysia will lose the ability legally to

carry through traffic at the new low fare from Australia to Europe. Malaysian Airline Sprtem (IA), will however

rain from

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