Vatnout a politiced settlement
beyond Chet time. A decisi a te imumvatni w the fextura (AS
would trike about six years to Bandowcat, It therefore appears 1Bely that a significant British Military presence will be in the Cypret
SBAS for home years,
to assist in maintaining stability in Cypzus, and to
provide logistic support for United Nations forces. A Study (8)
assesses whether the Military facilities at present available are
being put to their most effective use "Syntients of conclusions
to be included at Draft Stage 7
15. Hong Kong and Bronci. The Norg Kong Garrison is maintained
primarily for Internal Security. The JIC assess (9) that over
the next five years, and in a worst case where agitation was
fomented in the Colony accompanied by aarest in the police force,
the military forces in the territory would be able to contain
mass demonstrations for a limited period. They would have difficulty
in maintaining normal law and order throughout the territory
even when reinforced under present contingency plans from Brunei.
and the United Kingdon, without a large measure of co-operation
from the population. Recent negotiations with the Sultan of Brunei
are expected to lead to signature of a Treaty and do an Exchange
of Letters under the terms of whien a Gurkha Battalion will be
maintained in Brunei until September 1983. Thereafter the Hong
Kong Government may be expected to press for an additional battalion
to be stationed in Hong Kong to match population growth and to
replace the rapid reinforcement from Brunet which is available
at present.
Notes: 8.
9.
D# 18/78(C) (Draft)(To be issued). JIC(78)9 (To be issued).
THIS IS A COPY
THE ORIGINAL HAS BEEN RETAINED IN THE DEPARTMENT UNDER SECTION 3(4) OF THE
L
PUBLIC RECORDS ACT 1950
CRET