UK EYES A

Page 5 of 5 pages

politically difficult to do so.

External capital movements into Hong Kong would

end and in so far as these were required for internal productive investment they

could probably be replaced by taxes but they would nevertheless represent a foreign

exchange loss. Tourism would decline and any plans that China might have for

linking increased tourism on the mainland with Hong Kong as an entry point would

have to be abandoned or at least scaled down. China would of course lose the

remittances which come from Chinese in Hong Kong although remittances from other

overseas Chinese might still continue to be channelled through other banking centres

or even through Hong Kong. China would also find it less easy to use Hong Kong as

an access point for viewing foreign technology.

THIS IS A COPY

THE ORIGINAL HAS BEEN RETAINED IN THE DEPARTMENT UNDER SECTION 3 (4) OF THE PUBLIC RECORDS ACT 1958

UK EYES A

SECRET DELICATE SOURCE

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