28.

72 But prospects for our exports in 1979 will inevitably be influenced by the restrictions on textiles and clothing.

Of course, possibilities for trading up and for

diversification into other industries remain; and I feel

sure that our entrepreneurs and our labour will exercise

their traditional ingenuity to make the best of the

situation.

But the low rates of growth included in our

latest textiles agreements and the greatly reduced

provision for flexibility have placed severe limits on the extent to which our exporters can move to satisfy

changing demand in our markets. The export sector is now

reasonably competitive and well poised for more rapid

growth.

It is to be hoped that this will be facilitated

by a further slowdown in domestic demand in 1979 the reby

releasing the necessary resources. Re-exports are

traditionally hard to predict but it would be prudent

to assume that growth will be slower next year than this.

73 Taking all these relevant factors together, it

looks as if our foreign exchange earnings generated by

exports will continue to grow in 1979 at about the same

rate at this year. Provided economic growth, even at

its comparatively low present rate, continues in our

major markets

J

and generally speaking this is what we

expect it should generate substantial further growth in

Hong Kong.

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