CONFIDENTIAL ##

Actual

機密

TABLE I

ANNEX A

Projected

!

Remand

921

Prison

954 1,069

4,515 5,338 5,216

1974/75 1975/76 1976/77 1977/78 1978/79 1979/80 1980/81 1981/82 1982/83

977 1,171 1,227 1,121 1,175 1,233

4,965 5,297

5,774 5,699 5,790 5,985

Treatment

Centre

1,285 1,296 1,486

1,710

1,844

1,875

1,952

2,012 2,073

Training Centre

439

435

395

402

443

492

517

541

552

Detention

Centre

265

178

169

181

228

246

248

251

254

Total

(Daily

Average

7,425 8,201 8,335

8,235

8,983 9,614

9,537

9,769 10,097

Population)

Certified*

accommo- dation

6, 194 6,889 7,158

8,613 8,565 8,985

8,985 8,985

8,985

Surplus/

shortfall in

accommo- dation

-1,231 -1,312 -1,177

+378

-418 -629

-552

-784 -1,122

NOTE *

These totals include 782 places in the Victoria and Ma Hang institutions. But projects scheduled for completion after 1982/83 will provide an additional 600 places.

For long term planning purposes, it is considered prudent to apply figures 15% in excess of actual population predictions to allow for emergency situations, normal fluctuations in the population of institutions and for the closing of cells, etc. for maintenance purposes. Taking account of this the following estimates are produced:-

Projected daily average population

Projected certified accommodation*

1978/79. 1979/80 1980/81 1981/82 1982/83

10,330 11,056 10,968 11,234 11,612

8,565 8,985 8,985 8,985 8,985

Projected surplus/shortfall in certified

-1,765

-2,071 -1,983

-2,249 -2,627

accommodation

CONFIDENTIAL

G.F. 323

機密

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