8

Table 2 CLP Forecasts

Units Generated

Per Year Per Capita

Units Generated Per Year Per Capita

Year

(Historical)

Year

(Forecast)

1961

501

1976

1850

1962

555

1977

1975

1963

618

1978

2089

1964

700

1979

2208

1965

775

1980

2332

1966

870

1981

2460

1967

938

1982

2595

1968

1049

1983

2735

1969

1196

1984

2870

1970

1299

1985

3000

1971

1383

1986

3130

1972 *

1502

1987

3260

1973

1610

1974

1549

1975

1648

An extended forecast shows that by 1990, electricity generation will have reached 3670 units per head of population, i.e. approximately the present level in France.

(c) Electricity Generation and Gross Domestic Product

The level of demand for electricity is directly related to the economic situation. The relationship between generation per capita and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is clearly shown in the world-wide and Hong Kong statistics in Fig. 1. Although generation per capita varies from country to country, countries with a high GDP per capita generate more electricity per head of population.

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