CONFIDENTIAL # 3

15

Not 10

-77pt is affected

above

State

6.

6.1

Other consequences

It might be argued that Hong Kong should reduce

its dependence on exports of textiles and clothing generally

and to the EEC in particular.

6.2

On the first point, the Hong Kong Government

is encouraging diversification by, for example, developing

industrial estates particularly for use by those who wish

to develop new industries in Hong Kong and by missions to

encourage overseas companies to use Hong Kong as a

manufacturing base. But the fact is that, for the

foreseeable future, the manufacture of textiles and clothing

will continue to dominate Hong Kong's industry. Certainly,

for diversification to compensate fully for the level of

cut-back the EEC are apparently envisaging would take many

years.

6.3

Nor, on the second point, is it easy to find

alternative markets to the EEC for textiles and clothing.

The scope in the significant markets Hong Kong has already

established by competitive enterprise is limited by quota

arrangements or unilateral import restrictions.

To increase

exports to the remainder is at best difficult; and they

offer much less in terms of magnitude than the EEC. Hong

Kong's ability to respond flexibly to economic difficulties

is considerable. But it is of little avail against

physical limitations to trade.

/6.4 ·

+

1.

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