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and 3 patrol craic, or of 5 patrol craft. The former would, on the assumption

the frigate would not be new, result in lower capital costs, but, because

of the increased manpower requirements, stores and engineering support required

by the frigate, be more expensive to run. While at this preliminary stage

in the Naval Staff studies, the order of whole-life costs of these two

options are unquantified, it is considered that an all-patrol craft solution

is likely to prove the cheaper of the two. For this reason it is assumed

that, while not finally rejecting the alternative, MOD will use for purposes

of illustration the order of capital and running cost resulting from the

procurement and operation of 5 patrol craft (although the precise number

of vessels and their detailed characteristics are not at this stage determined).

HONG KONG GOVERNMENT ATTITUDE AND INTENTIONS

13.

The Secretary for Security of the Hong Kong Government has already been

approached informally in order to ascertain the Hong Kong Government's

likely attitude to the replacement of the present patrol craft, and he has

discussed this with the Naval Staff and with US(GS) during a visit to London

in August. He made it clear that while the Hong Kong Government accepts

(and indeed supports) the continuing need for a Royal Navy presence in the

Colony's waters, they are concerned that any iew vessels should be as

inexpensive as possible, because they will be required to meet the major

part of the capital and running costs of the Squadron.

COSTS

14.

As will be clear from paragraphs 2 to 4, the procurement of any new

vessels to replace the existing patrol craft will occur within the timescale

of the existing DCA, even if the delivery of some of them and some residual expenditure

might not take place until after its termination in 1983. Although it

might have been possible to argue a case for the Hong Kong Government being

asked to pay the full costs of replacement vessels (especially if they were to

5 CONFIDENTIAL

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