DSK TIC
CONFIDENTIAL
interests are likely to be dominated by it for
many years.
بتها
They will not work for trouble on
their other frontiers.
(b) Unlike the Soviet Union, China is historically
not an expansionist power. She has a clear perception
for example it of, what her territory should be includes Tibet, Taiwan and Hong Kong.
But there is
no reason in her culture or history to suppose she has any territorial ambitions beyond her present frontiers (Taiwan and ultimately no doubt Hong Kong
excepted).
pohaps
The
Continuing
(c) Hong Kong is militarily indefensible. status quo suits both the UK and China. Chinese tolerance of it will depend largely on China's perception of the benefit (particularly economic) which she gets from Hong Kong.
Wing Anglo-Chinese relations could promote China to act against Hong Kong. Conversely, good relations, which British arms sales would promote, would have
the opposite effect.
But poor
(a) Once China has embarked on the path of
Geating
maintaining a modern industry and meeting the rising
in part
expectations of her large population, partly by
importing Western technology and equipment, she is
The West car likely to continue to need the latter.
expect to maintain its technological lead and the Chinese will (like the Soviet Union) continue to
seek Western assistance.
This will tend to moderate
any expansionist tendencies which might exist in
/China
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