}
CONFIDENTIAL
DSK HIC
In is reasonable that by оздний will command to
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SECTION I: WHAT DOES CHINA WANT FROM THE UNITED KINGDOM?
Ник
2. While Mao was alive, Chinese policy oscillated between the economic pragmatism of Chou En-tai and ideological
fervour of the Cultural Revolution. Mao's death was followe
by the defeat of the ideological line of the Gang of Four
Myth and the return to the leadership of the re-pragmatist,
Teng Hsiao-ping. Further adjustments of policies and
there are good chasms personalities cannot be excluded, but it is reasonable to
for the
*
assume that Chinese leaders in the years ahead will continu
to give economic growth and defencey which is dependent on it, the priority over ideological factors. Within this
Zbroad
broad goal of modernisation, there will be differences of
opinion about the relative importance of industry, agriculture
defence, and science and technology. In all these fields,
however, China needs and is asking for outside help, withou
wishing to become overly dependent on foreign countries in
general or any one country in particular.
3. This help will not be forthcoming from the Soviet
Union: Sino-Soviet tensions may lessen, but the underlying
boshlat
In the United States,
mutual rivalry and fear will remain. domeshi politial conditions, historical perception and
[political constraints deriving from American relationships
with China's neighbours will continue to limit trade, while
military sales are likely to remain banned. This leaves
Japan and Western Europe as the main sources of equipment
and technology for China. These are also areas which the
threatened by
from
Chinese see as subject to political erosion by the Soviet
between they counting, and
Union.
would
Strengthened economic links with China may therefore
serve Chinese political as well as economic purposes.
14.
CONFIDENTIAL
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