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DSR HC

ated

likely to be dominated by it for many years.

To this extent they will wish to avoid trouble

on their other frontiers, although they will

not relinquish their claims.

for

(b) Unlike the Soviet Union, China is historically

not an expansionist power. She has a clear

perception of what her territory should be

example it includes Tibet, Taiwan and Hong Kong.

But there is no reason in her culture or history

to suppose she has any territorial ambitions

beyond the frontiers she regards as her own.

The

Continuing

But poor

(c) Hong Kong is militarily indefensible.

status quo suits both the UK and China.

Chinese tolerance of it will depend largely on

China's perception of the benefit (particularly

economic) which she gets from Hong Kong.

Anglo-Chinese relations could bring China to act

against Hong Kong. Conversely, good relations,

which British arms sales would assist, could have

the opposite effect.

(d) Once China has embarked on the path of

creating a modern industry and meeting the rising

expectations of her large population, in part by

importing Western technology and equipment, she

is likely to continue to need the latter. The

West can expect to maintain its technological

/lead

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