HOUSING

(November 1976 to January 1977)

AS GIVEN IN PARA.6 OF ANNEX D OF PLANNING PAPER (MARCH 1976)

1978/79

1979/80

1980/81

1981/82

1982/83

1983/84

1984/85

1985/86

TARGETTARGET 102,450 97,000108,840 109,000 161, 810179,900 181,200 224,400 229,190248,800 245,800 244,500 230,700 242,000 236,400230,300189,500 99,800 230,000 250,200

TARGETS

A

B

LAST QUARTER

C

CURRENT QUARTER

Persons to

be housed

1976/77

1977/78

A

TARGET C

72,130

108,670

DIFFERENCE 30,320-24,870

Explanation of change

13

CURRENT TARGET

Details for 1976/77

1. Lai King

Project

2. Kwai Shing II/III

154,220

272,110

235,530

272,150

248,300

225,200

118,500

∙111500-131,700

268,890

Nil Nil -7,590 -16,680 +90,910 +47,710 +6,340-13, 270 +23,090+24,390 +41,450+30,150 +11,900+18,000+35,700+25,400

As all but one of the current targets differ from both the original and the last quarter's targets the picture appears somewhat confusing. However, over the ten-year period the total number of persons planned to be housed has changed very little viz.

Original target (A) Last quarter (B) Current quarter (C)

1,915,890 2,016,900 1,975,700

A detailed explanation of the changes that have taken place in 1976/77 is given below. There is a substantial change in the last year of the period (1985/86), because the current figures reflect what is planned for that year, whereas the figures in the original forecast (A), and those in the previous report (B) included projects planned to be constructed after 1985/86. Taking the 9-year period to 1984/85, the total number of persons planned to be housed is 165,000 more than the original figure and 90,000 more than last quarter's figure, mainly due to a more intensive planned development of sites.

Completion Date June 1976 July 1976

Capacity

9,120 17,890

3. Lai Yiu I/IIa

15,900

Dec. 1976

4. Cheung Ching I

20,500

5,220

6. Housing Society (Lai Tak Tsuen) 3,500

72,130

5. Yue Wan

Feb. 1977 March 1977

Explanation of change

The main reason for the reduction of about 25,000, compared with the last. quarter target of 96,990, is a delay in the completion of the Tai Hing I estate (28,360) which, in the last report, was planned to be completed in March 1977. To minimise the impact of the delay, the phasing of the estate has been re-scheduled to house 8,700 in May 1977 and the remainder in July and September 1977. The net balance of about 3,500 comprises an increase of 4,500 in the capacity of the Cheung Ching I estate (No.4) (part of the balance of this estate brought forward from April 1977) offset by a 1,000 reduction in the Housing Society figure (No.6)(the completion of phase I of an estate has been deferred from March to August 1977).

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