CONFIDENTIAL

would be utilised in setting up the new scheme.

Levels of

assistance to persons aged 65 and over might be as follows:

Population aged

65 and over*

(assumed)

(At 1976 prices)

Rate per person

per day**

(HK$)

Total cost to public funds (HK$ million)

1980/81

250,000

1981/82

250,000

1982/83

282,250

10.36

11.03

11.04

650

690

780

population mid-1975 = 238,000

**taken to be HK$8 in 1976/77 increased in line with real growth of gross domestic product.

4. Consolidated Account expenditure in 1981/82 would be HK$ 13,560 million (at 1976 prices) of which some 54% (or about IIK$ 7,280 million) would be for social programmes. Of this social expendi- ture, about 21% (or HK 1550 million) would be in respect of the cost (including administration costs of HK$ 570 million) of the income supplementation scheme described in paragraph 3 (HK$ 1350 million in all) together with a further HK$ 200 million or so for miscellaneous other programmes organised by the Urban Council and the Housing Authority. The income supplementation scheme would represent about 11% of the total Budget (that is, expenditure on the General Account), amounting to about HK$ 11,790 million.

Economists Department Foreign & Commonwealth Office

June 1976

2

CONFIDENTIAL

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