G.F. 323
CONFIDENTIAL #B
機密
ANNEX C TO XCC(75)55
Revised Estimate of Total Project Cost
The table bolow shows the revised estimate of the total project cost compared with the estimate (at October 1974 prices) which was made in January. Annex D of memorandum XCS (75)1 estimated that the cost of the project, after allowance for escalation at 7 p.a. from mid-1974, would be $5,850m. The assumptions for the cash flow calculation shown at Annex D to this memorandum produce an equivalent revised estimate of the project cost of $5,200m., after allowing for the same figure of 7% p.a. escalation, but from mid-1975 rather than mid-1974. Although this is a very substantial reduction from $5,850m. it is, of course, offset by reductions in revenue. If, however, the original January assumption were maintained, that the average inflation rate over the life of the project would be 7% p.a. from mid-1974 to completion, then the estimated project cost would be $5,600m., of 250m. from the January estimate.
a reduction
Smillion
BALU Vreau sue mét, a v p
Jan 75 Estimate (Oct 1974 prices)
Revised Estimate (July 1975 prices)
25 Civil Contracts
3175.69
2901.10
10 E & Contracts
745.00
793.69
Total
3920.69
3694.79
Other Costs *
744.00
792.00
Total without
escalation
4664.69
4486.79
Total
plus 7% p.2. from mid-74
5850
5600
- plus 7 p.a.
from mid-75
5200
* Notes:- (1)
Other costs include survey and site investigation, utility and traffic diversions, land, staff and other administration costs, consultants fees.
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