9.

CONFIDENTIAL

cost of living does not start to rise again, there is no

cause for serious alarm. But for this we are dependent on

how demand develops in the United States and Europe.

13.

The Chinese Government has continued to be

noticeably helpful in various ways. In particular they

have used their influence with communist controlled

Trades Unions to prevent any industrial or social issues

resulting from the current hard times from escalating into

a confrontation with the Government. The relationship

of Hong Kong officials with Chinese officials stationed

in Hong Kong is relaxed and effective.

14.

Nevertheless the prevailing atmosphere

of near-depression, adjustment, anxiety and frustration,

is not a pleasant one for a government of this sort. It

is a situation in which at best the population and press

are querulous and nervous and inclined to look for scape-

goats, and at the worst there is much dry material lying

about to which a spark might be set by bad luck or clumsy

administration. It is a year in which we must certainly

be very careful.

15.

I end this despatch by a plea to bear

this in mind in dealing with Hong Kong this year.

Whether

the issue is trade negotiations with the EEC or the United

States, or the negotiation of a new Defence Costs Agreement,

or any other matter in which H.M.G. plays a distinct and

/dominant role

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