number of dentists practising in Hong Kong is probably 437, or a ratio of 1 dentist for every 9,300 population. The ratios in other countries

are:

United Kingdom

New Zealand

Japan ... Singapore

1:3,730 (1970)

1:2,540 (1970)

1:2,820 (1969)

1:5,150 (1971)

94. The World Health Organization considers (in a report on dental education) that each country must determine its own target for the number of dentists required to serve its population. The principles adopted by the International Dental Federation for development of a manpower programme in dentistry also emphasize that there is no optimum ratio of dentists to population except in terms of an individual country. The ratio will vary widely between the various countries and will also vary with social, economic and educational characteristics of the country.

95. In the circumstances, one can, for the purpose of calculating item (a) of paragraph 92 set a purely arbitrary ratio of 1 dentist to 6,000 population and see where that figure leads. It produces the following figures of requirements of dentists for the private sector:

96. As regards (b) of paragraph 92, the number of dentists required to staff the School-children's Dental Service is 12, beginning with two in 1979 to coincide with the first batch of graduates of dental nurses, and rising by annual increments of two.

97. As regards (c) of paragraph 92, the present establishment of dentists in the Government Dental Service is 70, It is estimated that three additional dentists will be required per year to meet future expansion. Thus by 1982 the establishment in the Government Dental Service would have increased to 97. This figure excludes replacement which is considered separately in paragraph 99.

98. These three categories of need can be summarized as follows:

School-

Government children's

Dental Service

Dental

Private Sector at a ratio of

Total Need

Service

1:6000

1973

70

651

721

1974

73

661

734

1975

76

672

748

1976

79

684

763

No. of

Total Population

Population served by

Population served by

1977

82

690

772

Dentists

Government

School

Population served by

required for

1978

85

697

782

Private

private

Dental

Dental

1979

88

703

793

Dentists

sector, at a

Service

Service

ratio of

1980

91

4

708

803

1:6,000

('000)

('000)

('000)

1981

94

714

814

('000)

1982

97

8

720

825

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)- (b)- (c)-(d)

(f)=(e)÷6

1973

4,185.8

280.0

3,905.8

651

1974

4,261.0

292.0

3,968.1

661

1975

4,337,4

304.0

4,033.4

672

1976

4,417,8

316.0

4,101.8

684

1977

4,501.3

328.0

4,173.3

690

1978

4,588.0

340.0

4,248

697

1979

4,677,6

352.0

42,7

4,282.9

703

1980

4,770.2

364.0

87.2

4,319

708

1981

4,865,0

376.0

132.9

4,356.1

714

1982

4,963.9

388.0

180.1

4,395,8

720

99. As regards (d) of paragraph 92 the Dental Register contains four categories of dentists, which can be regrouped into (a) the university- qualified dentists and (b) the unqualified dentists who were registered before 1940. At present 47% of the dentists in the register are un- qualified. After 1940 no more unqualified dentists were permitted to be registered. The number of unqualified dentists in the next 10 years will therefore decrease rapidly, as most of them will have reached the age of 60 years by the end of the period under review. The wastage rate for the two categories of dentists is assessed separately as follows:

41

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