SECRET

DRAFT TELEGRAM TO THE GOVERNOR OF HONG KONG

1. As you know, the principles underlying tho Defence Review

delloved holing are are, the Government's/conviction that in Britain's present and

prospective economic situation defence expenditure must be

reduced by several hundred million pounds a year over a period;

decisar

and, their determination to give first priority to the security

of the United Kingdom which in turn rests upon our membership

of the North Atlantic Alliance.

doesn't this go for for!

.2.

Against this background Ministers are giving close

consideration to the concept of a Critical Level of military

capability which in the judgement of the Chiefs of Staff

represents the minimum British contribution of forces to NATO

below which the credibility of NATO's strategy of deterrence,

flexibility in response, and forward defence could no longer be preserved; and which could at the same time be contained within

a defence allocation of 41% of GNP (compared with the present

51%) by the mid-1980.

3. This concept involves, very considerable reductions in the

Armed Forces and their civilian and industrial support, will nob

be easy to present to our NATO allies, and comes close to the

margins of security of the United Kingdom itself. In its strict

form it involves the abandonment of all our military commitments

outside NATO and in the Mediterranean. Ministers have recognized,

however, that relevant political considerations, including

responsibilities for the internal security and external defence

FIK

J. of 4

SECRET

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