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In many cases research would be limited mainly to

a follow-up activity instead of being undertaken in

parallel with project development. There would be a

slowing down of development; longer intervals between,

and therefore increased obsolescence in, successive

weapons systems; and increased risks and costs because

of scientific and technological uncertainties.

Support

The maximum possible cuts would be made on support,

though this would have been cut to the bone to reach

the Critical level.. In particular the OD Headquarters

and related organisations would be cut by between 20%

and 25%.

Military Consequences

114. Paragraphs 4-6 of Annex M indicate how cuts to reach the First

level would reduce significantly the UK contribution to the Alliance's

maritime strategy, to the Alliance's land/air strategy on the

Central Front and to the direct defence of the United Kingdom.

This, coming on top of the reductions to the Critical level, would

in the considered view of the Ministry of Defence undermine the

confidence of the Allies in the viability of NATO strategy to such

an extent that the strategy would be no longer credible. In such

circumstances, the security of the United Kingdom would be gravely

at risk, and we could no longer lay credible claim that the NATO

Alliance was the linch-pin of such security as we continued to

possess. The morale of the Armed Services would fall and there

would be little confidence in the future of the Armed Forces as a

worthwhile profession.

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