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BEIDEMAAJOIN

Registry No.

SECURITY CLASSIFICATION

Top Secret.

Secret.

Confidential.

Restricted.

Unclassified.

PRIVACY MARKING

..In Confidence

CC

SECRET

DRAFT

Type 1 +

From

To:-

Chancellor of the Exchequer

Secretary of State

Telephone No. & Ext.

Department

Prime Minister

Defence Secretary

Secretary of State for

Industry

Sir J Hunt

DEFENCE EXPENDITURE 1974/75

1. I have seen your minute of 13 March to the

Defence Secretary and his reply. I agree with

him that it would be a mistake to tackle the Defence

Review piecemeal and to prejudge in the Budget

Speech any decisions which might emerge from it.

2. It could be, as you and he both say in different

ways, that the review will lead to a decision to

withdraw our forces in Singapore and to some reduct-

ion of naval and air capabilities elsewhere. But I

sure governments in the area are already very

sensitive to the possibility of changes and I believe

that an announcement in the Budget Speech, before we

had been able to prepare the ground carefully with

our allies, would cause us serious difficulties.

3. In addition to the points which the Defence

Secretary has made, we could not withdraw from

Singapore without reconsidering the Five Power Defence

arrangements as a whole, in particular whether we

could honour the commitment which our predecessors

undertook over the defence of Malaysia and Singapore,

and if so how. We should also need to ensure our

staging facilities at Singapore for use in connection

with Hong Kong. We should then need to make our

/position

SECRET

255) (d.145173 400m 5/73 G.W.B.Ltd. Gp.853

INJUEZZING KO OL WIDENINI

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