TO:

DRAFT LETTER

Sir Murray MacLehose KCMG MBE

HONG KONG

DEFENCE AGREEMENT

1. We understand that when the Quarter-Master-General, Sir William

Jackson was in Hong Kong recently there was some informal discussion

about the effect of Article 3(i)(a) of the Memorandum of Understanding

having been reached ie. works costs having risen by over 50% on

the April 1971 price level.

2. We understand from the Ministry of Defence that your general

reaction was that this was a technical question; that the agreement

provided for a review if costs rose to this degree; and that the

suggestion of discussions leading to an agreement on supplementary

contributions was fully acceptable. This is bone out by the

Secretary of Security's letter to me of 5 March.

3. I think there are two questions at issue. First, are discussions

on Article 3(i)(a) appropriate and timely in themselves; and second,

what are the implications for other concurrent developments. On

the first question, I understand that it is common ground that the

trigger point has been exceeded. And it seems not unreasonable, in

view of the terms of the agreement, that we should now think again.

Unless you believe that the resurrection of the defence contribution

debate in this context would cause unacceptable political repercussions,

there would seem every advantage in going ahead with the review as

a purely technical operation, not least because the MOD and PSA say

that if there is no agreement on cost escalation by June they will

have to stop the injection into planning of the capital works.

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4. The second half of the equation is more difficult.

know, there is a current Defence Review in which all 'options are open.

We have of course taken care from the very beginning to inject the

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