CONFIDENTIAL

Financial Secretary and his personal disclaimer if Hong Kong hits

economic trouble. The current oil/energy crisis raises a

further question mark in this connection.

7. So far, reaction has been very muted. In the British press

no mention has been made of the confidence aspect. In Hong Kong

itself it has been accepted that tax changes are inevitable.

The "establishment" newspaper the South China Morning Post in an

editorial, describes the envisaged capital expenditure as

"daunting" But it continues by asking whether "in our grandiose

social plans we have not over-extended ourselves: but this belief

can only be sustained on the selfish and short-sighted assumption

that Hong Kong must remain a tax payer's paradise indefinitely".

Two leading Chinese language newspapers do not consider that

increased taxes will be an excessive burden on tax payers. They

discount the increases as long expected although it is not clear

whether these comments refer to this year's tax increases or the

then possibilities for next year. If the former, the latter have been

ignored. Business leaders have also welcomed the budget.

8. Future details, eg of estimated revenue, expenditure and tax

changes are given in the attached annex.

I agree.

14 March 1974

ཡི་

M A Goodfellow Hong Kong & Indian Ocean Department

17/3 1 twit Me Goodfellow 's probably right about

the state of creative tension between the finance

branch and the Executive.

The increase in vehick

hance keer is a delicats poling of restriction card

almost certainty night

CONFIDENTIAL

ACSEX

.8/3

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