2

Foreign Trade

The main data are set out in the annexed tables. In value

terms (HK$), domestic exports, retained imports and the (structural)

trade deficit were all some 26-28% higher than in 1972. But at

HK$3 md. the deficit was no wider than in 1971; and in real terms it

hayrewic

must of course be seen as appreciably lower

h

The 9-month figures shown

at Table II suggests, however, that most of the increase in trade values

was due to price rises.

Thus the great bulk of last year's inflation in the Colony

The crucial

looks to have been imported rather than home-grown.

importance of foreign trade is shown by Government estimates that in

1972 imports accounted for 70-75% of private consumption expenditure on

goods (both durable and non-durable) and 90% of private investment

expenditure (excluding land and building work).

Likewise manufacturers

in 1970 probably exported 80% of their final output - or as much as 86%

if building materials, shipbuilding, tailoring and printing are excluded

Consequently imported inflation very quickly shows up in

increased consumer and export prices:

Percentage Changes

1972 against

1971

1973 against

1972

(12 months (9 months

data)

data)

100%

17%

27%

Share in Total

Imports Jan.-Sept.1973

Import Prices:

All goods

Foodstuffs

Consumer goods

+ 4%

+ 15%

+ 5%

+ 23%

+ 2%

+ 13%

41%

Raw Materials

+ 4%

+ 15%

Weights in Index

Consumer Prices:

100

All goods

+ 6%

+ 20%

48

Foodstuffs

+ 7%

+ 28%

100% of Exports

Export Prices (All Goods)*

+ 7%

+16%

*Price changes broken down by export commodity groups 1973 against

1972 (9 months) are at Annex Table II.

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