CONFIDENTIAL

6.

It is their own

The decision had to lie with Hong Kong.

money and risk. Nevertheless we do not accept that it was

commercially prudent to discard the Anglo-Italian offer altogether.

If the soil surveys turn out well, then the Anglo-Italian price

could have been below the Japanese.

If they turn out badly then

it is difficult to believe that the Japanese ceiling price will

hold, particularly in the current world economic situation. Although

the Japanese threatened to withdraw their pre-emptive bid, the surest

way to hold them to it might well have been the continuance of

competition.

7.

Politically the decision is damaging to the relationship

between Britain and Hong Kong. This is the fore-runner of a number

of underground railway contracts throughout the world.

Presentationally, if we cannot get the work in our own dependent

territory, the UK will not be regarded as a strong competitor else-

where. A Japanese contract of this size will put Hong Kong firmly

and permanently in the Japanese economic sphere of influence.

the Prime Minister and the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry

have stressed the overriding importance of getting this contract for

Britain and are correspondingly disappointed. There is some

disposition to blame the Governor. But much more of the

Both

responsibility for the decision lies with his advisers on Executive

Council. (None

Line to Take

8.

of

this

can,

of

стих,

be revealed to Sir Y.K. Kun)

We understand Executive Council's reasons for deciding to

negotiate only with the Japanese.

The decision is of course Hong

Kong's own. But we are not fully convinced of the commercial wisdom

CONFIDENTIAL

/of this

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