(CONTINUE TYPING HERE)

Govement know by next week whether we can offer terms

similar to those of our competitors.

In my view it is vital that we should succeed here. It

would be highly damaging to our business reputation

throughout the world not to secure this major project in

one of our dependent territories. The project is also of

great importance in its own right since the value of

British exports and services would total £250-£300m.

Even more important, however, is the need to establish UK

industry in the enormous market for urban rapid transit

business throughout the world. We badly need a break-

through into this business and, if we cannot succeed in

Hong Kong, we shall be most unlikely to get a foothold in

this field elsewhere.

I have seen calculations which the Bank of England have

made which suggest that the degree of subsidy which would

be involved in our proposals would be some 36% or some

£60m. These calculations are, however, theoretical and

rest on assumptions which are very debatable. Certainly

there will be a substantial element of subsidy here. But

we need to decide now whether we want this contract or

not. If we do, then we must be prepared to offer what our

competitors are already offering.

I am copying this letter to the Prime Minister, the other

members of the EPC and Sir Burke Trend.

Continuation Sheet No.

File No.

Form SS/29A

DO NOT TYPE ON REVERSE USE FURTHER CONTINUATION SHEET

9673 D.216655 20M 10/72 T.P. Gp.658

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