CONFIDENTIAL

immediate abolition, delay could be dangerous.

To abolish the

death penalty in obvious juxtaposition to, and anticipation of

a case as serious as a double murder would substantially increase

the risks of damage to our interests in Hong Kong. It might

therefore be unwise to delay unless we are genuinely uncertain

of our final decision on the death penalty, or unless Hong Kong's

Executive Council are so anxious to postpone a confrontation that

we would provoke a worse crisis by seeming intransigent.

8.

If delay is ruled out there would remain only the third

option, to change the law now. An Order in Council abolishing

the death penalty would create a once-for-all crisis of

confidence which might not endure but which, while it lasted,

would be damaging. If, as seems likely, we decided to take no

steps to alter the law in the other Dependent Territories that

still have the death penalty but elected legislatures, this would

underline the unique impotence of Hong Kong. Given the sensi-

tivity, the economic strength and the political situation of

Hong Kong, both Governments have hitherto been careful to blur

the fact of this impotence and to minimise its effects.

Relationships with the United Kingdom would be bound to suffer

across the board. The third option of immediate steps by HMG

to change the law of Hong Kong should therefore remain one of

last resort.

CONCLUSION

9. The Governor has argued strongly that we should leave the

law in Hong Kong as it is; or failing that, that we should take

4

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/no

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