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could be changed would be return it to Communist China and

it is not politically possible to do that now. It is also

true that the process of return would engend er enormous problems.

At the same time, Hong Kong is fortunately economically

prosperous and is thus, apart from the defence cost, no real

burden on us. On the assumption that,if Hong Kong were not

as it were we might not be able to place our exports to it

elsewhere, whereas the imports we receive from it probably

would come from elsewhere, there is on balance some advantage

to us in the trading relationship, and the colony provides

an opportunity for business enterprise for many of our subjects.

But all in all, the balance seems to me to be a fairly neutral

one; it is neither a great burden nor a great asset.

The

and it will be

3. My own feeling, however, is that we should distribute

this despatch to the Treasury, DTI and Ministry of Defence,

and also print it. No 10 should also have a copy.

Governor is entitled to have his case heard;

worthwhile seeing what reaction the despatch brings. The point

here is that if the Governor's somewhat rosy view is not

challenged, then he may believe that it is accepted here and

that the position of Hong Kong in relation to the UK is stronger

than it in fact is. This could lead to miscalculation in

future which I should prefer to avoid if we can. He will now

be visiting the UK in December and we might have a talk with

him about our reactions to the despatek then.

27 November 1973

E Youde

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P.TO.

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