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VISIT OF SECRETARY OF STATE TO MOSCOW, 19727

(10)

say い EV. 10),

1. The main arguments for a visit in February and not May seem

to me to be Mr Bullard's point 4(a); the fact that a visit has

been on the stocks for a long time; and the possible

presentational advantage in this country of a visit earlier

rather than later. Mr Bullard's points 4(b), (c), and (d)

strike me as very speculative indeed. As Sir John Killick's

minute of 29 July to Mr Graham (copy attached) suggests, one

cannot predict how Berlin, MBFR etc. will go; and we have no

hard information as to whether and when President Nixon

might visit Moscow.

2. While February seems the better on balance, I share Sir John

Killick's view that the arguments are not overwhelming if the

Secretary of State has a distinct preference for May. In that

event we could perhaps suggest May tentatively to the

Russians, using the following arguments:-

(a) the fact of Mr Davies' visit in January;

(b)

the general pattern of the Secretary of State's diary;

(c) the joys of Spring as opposed to mid-Winter.

We could go on to offer to consider February if the Russians

thought May too late.

3. In any event, if we telegraph now, I think we should le ave

out the reference to President Nixon.

30 July 1971

Copy to: Sir S Crawford

Sir J Killick

Mr Margetson (SEAD)/

Mr Morgan (FED)

Mr Wilson

WAD

Mr Evans (NED

Mr James (WED)

Mr Hillman (P & C D)

Mr Laird (Hong Kong Dept) Lord Bridges (WOD)

Mr Bullard (EESD)

CONFIDENTIAL

C D Wiggin

PA, on Sops' visit fice.

..8.)

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