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that there should be a condition providing

for a review of the whole agreement after

five years if the recurrent costs

(mainly pay and allowances) of the garrison

had by that time increased by more than

50% over the April 1971 costs. The

figure of 50% is chosen for this purpose

because it reflects the same percentage

increase as is provided for under the

Governor's proposals (ię from £2 million

to £3 million) in the contribution to the

operating costs of the garrison over the

same period (see column 4 of paragraph

9 (a) above). Paragraph 8 of the attached

draft Memorandum accordingly contains a

recommendation by the Foreign and

Commonwealth Secretary that with the

addition of the above condition the Defence

and Overseas Policy Committee should approve

the adoption of the Governor's proposals.

14. The negotiation of an agreement, even

on these terms, would not be easy and their

by Hong Kong

Ʌ

acceptance would by no means be a foregone

conclusion. It is possible that even if

they received the support of the Unofficial

Members of the Executive Council, the

proposals might fail to obtain the support of

the Unofficial Members of the Legislative

Council; in this event the Executive

Council members might be tempted to withdraw

their own support. In either case it

would become necessary to decide whether a

contribution should be imposed.

8

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/15.

NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN

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