25. There are a number of respectable arguments in favour of going

ahead with liberalisation, and refusing to modify the Crosland safeguard

formula. Not the least of these arguments is that we would have kept

our workd; we secured the agreement of the Commonwealth to the

imposition of the tariff on the clear undertaking that there would

be no quantitative restrictions. We should thereby ensure that the

momentum of the shake-out in the industry was maintained, and that it

was slimmed down to a more sensible size by the time of EEC entry.

Quota controls are not in the interests of the consumer;

nor, since

they arrest the transfer of national resources from the less efficient

to the more efficient sectors of industry, are they in the interests

of the economy generally. On the other hand, members of the EEC

Commission have made it clear that they expect the UK to avoid

disruptive developments on the import point in the year preceding our

entry into the Community; and UK Ministers may feel that the political

pressures on them to alleviate the situation in Lancashire, particularly

having regard to the employment prospects in the area, are now so

great that the Government must be seen to be taking action, of one

t

kind or another.

26. The most extreme form of action

most welcome to Lancashire

and the one which would be

would be a continuation of quotas, but at

a lower level than hitherto, in addition to the introduction of the

CPA tariff. This would be so flagrantly in contravention of the Long

Term Arrangement, and such a blatant breach of our undertaking to the

developing Commonwealth that the introduction of the CPA tariff would

be accompanied by a liberalisation of their cotton textile trade,

officials feel obliged to advise Ministers against this course.

that

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